Civil War In Iraq Is Eminent
Civil war is brewing in Iraq and if you think it won't happen, think again. After a detailed review into the history of Iraq, I feel that a breakup of this nation state is eminent regardless of any efforts to hold it together.
Iraq is one of four multiethnic or multireligious states that was created by treaty at the end of World War I. The other three nation states were the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia. Of the four nation states created by the Treaty, only Iraq remains intact. Well if you call it that. I call it a civil war in the making. The other three nation states have already splintered apart.
There are two huge issues causing the eminent civil war in Iraq. The first is the desire for the Kurds in the Kurdistan region of Iraq to be self-governed. In fact, in a straw ballot in 2004, over 98% of adult Kurds voted for an independent Kurdistan. The Kurds already operate autonomously in Iraq; manage their own borders, assign their own taxes, and have an effective police and military in place. They even have their own "national" government. In fact they would like to separate from Iraq so badly that they do not even fly the Iraqi flag.
The Kurds are a large unique population. They have their own language, their own culture, and customs. They are Sunni Muslims, but practice a much more relaxed version of the faith than the minority Sunni Muslims do in the rest of Iraq.
The Kurds desire their freedom and self governance. Originally, in the Treaty of Sevres, at the end of World War I, the Kurd populations in Iraq, Syria, and Turkey were promised their own nation state if they voted to self govern and there were no objections from Turkey, but Turkey quashed this when Mustafa Kemal came into power. If the Kurds in Iraq, a population of about 6 million, create their own nation state, then the Kurd populations in Turkey (population of about 8 million) and Syria will probably also desire to join this new nation spreading strife in the region.
The second issue that will most certainly split Iraq apart is the differences between the majority population of Shiite Muslims and minority Sunni population. Remember, the minority Sunnis wielded great political and economic authority over the Shiite majority under the reign of Saddam Hussein. Not only are there huge religious divides between the two, but also bad blood because of the Sunni repression against the Shiite in very recent past history.
In Iraq, this unusual combination of a melting pot is not American in style. Each faction has its own geographic region, governance, and militia in place. Iraq was a very loosely held union even when Saddam was in power. Now, with the ability to choose its own way, Iraq is splintering along old traditional lines - Kurd, Sunni, and Shiite.
I do not feel that anything will be able to hold this last nation state, vestige from World War I, together. I predict that we will see increasing violence as the Kurds actively pursue their drive to self-government and Turkish and Syrian Kurds move to join this new nation. The Shiite and Sunni struggle will be magnified by slaughter on both sides and Iran will become increasingly involved in moving the remaining splinter of the new Iraq to a Muslim theocracy along their own model.
Civil war is inevitable in Iraq. American in its desire to bring peace and democracy in the Iraq and the greater Middle East has unleashed the dogs of war.
Iraq is one of four multiethnic or multireligious states that was created by treaty at the end of World War I. The other three nation states were the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia. Of the four nation states created by the Treaty, only Iraq remains intact. Well if you call it that. I call it a civil war in the making. The other three nation states have already splintered apart.
There are two huge issues causing the eminent civil war in Iraq. The first is the desire for the Kurds in the Kurdistan region of Iraq to be self-governed. In fact, in a straw ballot in 2004, over 98% of adult Kurds voted for an independent Kurdistan. The Kurds already operate autonomously in Iraq; manage their own borders, assign their own taxes, and have an effective police and military in place. They even have their own "national" government. In fact they would like to separate from Iraq so badly that they do not even fly the Iraqi flag.
The Kurds are a large unique population. They have their own language, their own culture, and customs. They are Sunni Muslims, but practice a much more relaxed version of the faith than the minority Sunni Muslims do in the rest of Iraq.
The Kurds desire their freedom and self governance. Originally, in the Treaty of Sevres, at the end of World War I, the Kurd populations in Iraq, Syria, and Turkey were promised their own nation state if they voted to self govern and there were no objections from Turkey, but Turkey quashed this when Mustafa Kemal came into power. If the Kurds in Iraq, a population of about 6 million, create their own nation state, then the Kurd populations in Turkey (population of about 8 million) and Syria will probably also desire to join this new nation spreading strife in the region.
The second issue that will most certainly split Iraq apart is the differences between the majority population of Shiite Muslims and minority Sunni population. Remember, the minority Sunnis wielded great political and economic authority over the Shiite majority under the reign of Saddam Hussein. Not only are there huge religious divides between the two, but also bad blood because of the Sunni repression against the Shiite in very recent past history.
In Iraq, this unusual combination of a melting pot is not American in style. Each faction has its own geographic region, governance, and militia in place. Iraq was a very loosely held union even when Saddam was in power. Now, with the ability to choose its own way, Iraq is splintering along old traditional lines - Kurd, Sunni, and Shiite.
I do not feel that anything will be able to hold this last nation state, vestige from World War I, together. I predict that we will see increasing violence as the Kurds actively pursue their drive to self-government and Turkish and Syrian Kurds move to join this new nation. The Shiite and Sunni struggle will be magnified by slaughter on both sides and Iran will become increasingly involved in moving the remaining splinter of the new Iraq to a Muslim theocracy along their own model.
Civil war is inevitable in Iraq. American in its desire to bring peace and democracy in the Iraq and the greater Middle East has unleashed the dogs of war.
the danger is coming from the USA and so called Israel.
thos are the real terror in this world. just hope one day they go for ever.
Posted by Anonymous | Fri Sep 08, 08:42:00 AM EDT
look what the USA doing in Iraq!!
no one is saying anything!!! is not that crazy world? Bush, Blair?? what kind of wankers are you guys?????
Posted by Anonymous | Fri Sep 08, 08:44:00 AM EDT