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Lebanon & Israel, the US Will Decide When Enough Is Enough?

Could this be? I think not. I believe that Israel is more self-directed than our headline states. This headline is pulled from an interview posted on Al Jazerra with Efraim Inbar, a professor of political science at Israel's Bar-Ilan University.

Here is the full quote.

What do you think is the very minimum Israel will accept for a ceasefire?

"Basically, the minimum conditions are the same as Israel's goals. But the US will decide when enough is enough and Israel will do what is acceptable to them. Between God, and us there is the United States. America, as well as the international community, is interested in the implementation of UN Security Council resolution 1559, which calls for the dismantling of Hezbollah."

Efraim Inbar, a professor of political science at Israel's Bar-Ilan University

Personally I believe that Efraim Inbar overstates the influence of the United States in this matter. Although his comments do show an overall impression from both sides that the US is somehow in control and guiding the outcome like puppeteerer.

I do not believe that the US is waiting for enough deaths to simply stand up force the parties to the bargaining table.

I think that the US has lost so much political clout in the Middle East region that is is a fairy tale to suppose that the US will be the real driver behind the actual settlement. Even if the US is pulling strings behind the scenes, accepting a US initiative would be so damaging to many parties to openly embrace; risking losing political capital themselves.

So Efraim, my friend, thanks for thinking that the US is a decisive player in this matter, that's past precedent. In this situation, you are mistaken.

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